Acute febrile illness associated with an emerging dengue 4 GIIb variant causing epidemic in León, Nicaragua 2022

Abstract

Historically, DENV-4 has been rarely associated with epidemics and has been less well-studied than DENV-1 to -3. Epidemic dengue struck several South and Central American countries in 2022, with Nicaragua reporting the highest incidence. In an acute febrile illness (AFI) cohort enrolled from June to September 2022, 58 (34%) of 172 patients had PCR-confirmed dengue, of which 46 (79%) were serotyped as DENV-4. In this cohort, acute dengue, as a proportion of AFI, increased from 8% in June to a peak of 58% in August. Genome sequencing and phylogenetic analysis identified a lineage of DENV-4 Genotype IIb (GIIb) with six amino acid substitutions on the surface-exposed regions of the envelope (E) protein as compared to a reference sequence from 2005. Indeed, two of these mutations appear to be novel and located at G172E or near N174K, an antigenic epitope on domain I. Most (90%, 43/48) DENV-4 patients had pre-existing DENV IgG (secondary dengue), at the acute phase. Secondary dengue was associated with the male sex (prevalence ratio (PR)), 6.88) and being younger than 11 years of age (PR, 8.38). Further analysis showed no association between past Zika exposure and DENV-4 acute illness in older subjects (≥12 years of age). In conclusion, our study describes an epidemic of DENV-4 in León, Nicaragua, associated with a novel lineage of genotype GIIb, which contains two amino acid changes not observed in DENV-4 before 2022.