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Climate-based descriptive models of dengue fever: The 2002 epidemic in Colima, Mexico

artículo científico
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Date
2006-06
Author
Chowell, Gerardo
Sánchez Peña, Fabio Ariel
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Abstract
Dengue is a public health problem on the rise in many tropical regions and affects approximately 100 million people every year worldwide. In this paper, the authors retrospectively assess the association between five climatological variables and dengue incidence using data from the 2002 dengue epidemic in Colima, Mexico. Pluvial precipitation (mm), evaporation (mm), and mean, maximum, and minimum temperatures (°C) were obtained from local meteorological stations. The highest correlation of dengue incidence with maximum temperature was found at a lag of one month, and the highest correlation for evaporation was found at a lag of three months, A multiple-linear-regression model that includes all the climatological variables was correlated with 94 percent of the observed variance. Two simpler linear models with variables significant at the 99 percent confidence level were correlated with 88 percent (Precipitation + Evaporation) and 79 percent (Precipitation + Maximum Temperature) of the observed variance.
URI
https://hdl.handle.net/10669/83434
https://www.neha.org/publications/journal-environmental-health
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/16780000/
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  • Repositorios universitarios

  • Repositorio del SIBDI-UCR
  • Biblioteca Digital del CIICLA
  • Repositorio Documental Rafael Obregón Loría (CIHAC)
  • Biblioteca Digital Carlos Melendez (CIHAC)
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  • Colección de videos de UPA-VAS
  • Sitios recomendados

  • Buscador regional de LA Referencia
  • Buscador del Open ROAR
  • Scientific Electronic Library Online (SciELO)
  • Directory of Open Access Journals (DOAJ)
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Repositorio Institucional de la Universidad de Costa Rica. Algunos derechos reservados. Este repositorio funciona con DSpace.