Un análisis de la relación a corto plazo entre fecundidad y matrimonio. España 1975-2013
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Date
Authors
Díaz Fernández, Montserrat
Llorente Marrón, María del Mar
Méndez Rodríguez, María Paz
Journal Title
Journal ISSN
Volume Title
Publisher
Universidad de Costa Rica
Abstract
Description
Con objeto de analizar en qué medida nupcialidad y fecundidadconstituyen variables relacionadas entre sí a lo largo del tiempo, se evalúaempíricamente un modelo que intenta capturar las relaciones temporales no causalesentre ambos fenómenos en España. El análisis se aborda mediante un modelo devectores autorregresivos y funciones impulso-respuesta. La información estadísticautilizada proviene del Instituto Nacional de Estadística (INE, 2014a y 2014b). Se haconstatado una relación fluctuante entre ambos procesos y débilmente procíclica. Lasactuaciones sobre la serie nacimientos generan efectos sobre la dinámica de ambasseries, que muestran cierto comportamiento de influencia-liderazgo.
The study analyzes in Spain the relationship between fecundity and marriage. In order to analyze how marriage and fertility are interrelated variables over time empirically evaluated a model that attempts to capture the non-causal temporal relationships between both phenomena in Spain. The analysis is approached by a VAR model and impulse response functions. The data used comes from the National Statistics Institute (INE). It has proven a fluctuating relationship between the two processes and weakly procyclical. The performances on births generate effects on both series showing influence-leadership.
The study analyzes in Spain the relationship between fecundity and marriage. In order to analyze how marriage and fertility are interrelated variables over time empirically evaluated a model that attempts to capture the non-causal temporal relationships between both phenomena in Spain. The analysis is approached by a VAR model and impulse response functions. The data used comes from the National Statistics Institute (INE). It has proven a fluctuating relationship between the two processes and weakly procyclical. The performances on births generate effects on both series showing influence-leadership.
Keywords
Fecundidad, nupcialidad, vector autorregresivo, España, Fertility, marriage, vector autoregressive models, Spain